Williams, Jazz open road trip with win over Bulls

Basketball Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Deron Williams poured in 28 points with a game- best 17 assists, as Utah used a big fourth quarter to pull away from Chicago, 132-108, at the United Center.

C.J. Miles scored 26 points off the bench, including six treys, while Carlos Boozer notched a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds and Paul Millsap came within a rebound of joining him with 16 points and nine boards. Mehmet Okur chipped in with 14 points and seven boards, while Andrei Kirilenko joined Wesley Matthews with 12 points apiece in the win.

The surging Jazz have won 10 of their last 12 road games in the first of a four-game road trip. Utah moved within one game of idle Denver in the race for the Northwest Division crown.

Derrick Rose led the Bulls with 25 points and 13 assists, Brad Miller scored 20 and Luol Deng and Ronald Murray totaled 14 points apiece for the Bulls, who have lost five straight to fall back below .500.

The first quarter was a back-and-forth affair with Utah scoring seven of the last eight points to open a 35-30 edge. Utah maintained its small edge for most of the second quarter, but climbed to a seven-point edge behind a quick six-point flurry for a 63-56 game. However, a Miller three and Murray layup capped the first-half scoring for a 63-61 margin.

The game was tied at 77-77 as late as the 5:20 mark of the third quarter, but Utah used a 15-4 spurt to end the period and begin to turn the game into a rout. The Jazz tallied seven straight points for an 84-77 lead on Boozer's two free throws, and the edge grew to 92-81 by the end of the quarter on Matthews' two free throws with 21.5 ticks remaining.

The Bulls scored five points in a nine-second span early in the fourth capped by Hakim Warrick's slam for a 92-86 game, but Chicago never got closer than that the rest of the way. The margin was as narrow as nine with just over six minutes left, 108-99, on Rose's driving layup, but over the next four-plus minutes, Utah went on a 21-7 stretch to pull away.

Game Notes

Utah shot a torrid 54.2 percent from the floor, including a 12-of-20 effort from beyond the arc...Chicago made 53.9 percent of its shots, but allowed Utah to collect 14 offensive rebounds and Rose committed five turnovers...The game featured three ties and three lead changes...Rose tied his career high in assists, first set on December 29, 2008 at New Jersey...Utah had lost four of its last five trips to the United Center prior to Tuesday's victory.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.